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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+1.60vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.12+1.91vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.72-0.05vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.51-0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.62+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.68+1.40vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.71-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.16-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Washington0.950.3%1st Place
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3.91Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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2.95Western Washington University0.720.2%1st Place
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3.29Oregon State University0.510.2%1st Place
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6.38University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
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5.22Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 28.7% | 26.9% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Niko Twilla | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Axel Greening | 23.2% | 21.3% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hope | 18.7% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Jackson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 15.1% | 42.4% | 22.2% |
| Emily Burns | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 17.4% | 69.8% |
| Tor Gammelin | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 29.4% | 22.0% | 5.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.