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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+6.83vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.77+5.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+5.84vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+2.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+9.13vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.91-0.32vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.67+5.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles2.63+4.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+3.16vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University2.20+5.55vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University2.15+4.45vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.64+0.56vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon2.76-1.03vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+0.94vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.82-2.95vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.50-2.70vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University3.30-7.71vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego1.60+0.48vs Predicted
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21Texas A&M University1.91-1.91vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine3.43-12.03vs Predicted
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23University of Southern California3.12-10.86vs Predicted
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25Stanford University3.27-13.69vs Predicted
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26University of California at Berkeley1.22-3.54vs Predicted
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27University of Notre Dame0.27-1.02vs Predicted
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28California State University Channel Islands1.09-4.86vs Predicted
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29University of California at Davis-0.08-2.57vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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7.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.74Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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16.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.0%1st Place
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7.68Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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14.42Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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14.8University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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14.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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17.55Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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17.45Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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14.56Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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16.94California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Hawaii2.820.0%1st Place
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15.3Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.29Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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20.48University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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19.09Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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11.31Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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22.46University of California at Berkeley1.220.0%1st Place
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25.98University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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23.14California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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26.43University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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23.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Bowman | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Rollins | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Foster | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Taylor | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Eric Schwarm | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Craig Schifferns | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Colin Feik | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Felando | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 23.9% | 29.5% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 8.3% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 43.1% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.