Race 6A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joseph Murphy 11.7% 11.1% 11.0% 11.7% 13.1% 13.1% 10.8% 9.6% 5.4% 2.5% 0.3%
Cole Bender 14.8% 13.7% 14.8% 13.7% 12.5% 10.5% 9.2% 6.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Boris Bialer 22.1% 19.8% 15.8% 13.7% 11.3% 7.8% 5.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Anthony Farrar 12.7% 13.5% 13.7% 10.6% 11.9% 12.7% 9.8% 8.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Michael Stewart 8.2% 11.1% 11.1% 10.2% 11.1% 11.7% 13.7% 9.9% 8.8% 3.6% 0.8%
Ashley Franklin 4.7% 4.2% 5.9% 8.3% 8.2% 9.9% 12.6% 15.0% 15.0% 12.4% 3.8%
Julian Hill 14.8% 14.3% 13.5% 14.2% 12.8% 10.2% 8.8% 5.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Mary Morris 2.6% 2.2% 3.3% 4.0% 4.0% 5.3% 5.8% 8.3% 15.5% 29.9% 19.0%
Matthew Lefler 3.6% 4.3% 4.6% 5.3% 6.2% 7.8% 10.4% 14.9% 19.2% 17.8% 5.9%
Gabriel Kunze 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 4.3% 6.7% 15.4% 63.1%
Abby Eckert 4.2% 5.5% 5.2% 7.2% 6.9% 8.8% 10.9% 14.1% 16.1% 14.6% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.