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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University-0.01+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.10+0.05vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.49-1.36vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.08-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.03-2.32vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-2.42-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Western Washington University-0.010.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
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2.24Western Washington University0.520.4%1st Place
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3.64University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University-1.080.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Oregon-2.030.0%1st Place
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5.99Oregon State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikoline Alden | 22.4% | 23.0% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| John Kauffman | 19.1% | 19.8% | 23.3% | 19.7% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 35.7% | 28.7% | 19.6% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wolcott | 12.4% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 20.3% | 10.7% | 2.3% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 28.2% | 19.5% | 9.1% |
| Mandy Watson | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 33.9% | 34.6% |
| Kaden Ashdown | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 24.4% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.