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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.52+1.28vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.01+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.10+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.49-1.39vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.08-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.03-1.31vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-2.42-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Western Washington University0.520.4%1st Place
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2.91Western Washington University-0.010.2%1st Place
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3.04University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
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3.61University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.47Western Washington University-1.080.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Oregon-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.0Oregon State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Ward | 37.3% | 25.9% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 20.8% | 22.5% | 23.3% | 17.6% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| John Kauffman | 18.2% | 23.1% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Wolcott | 13.4% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 2.2% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 27.4% | 20.3% | 9.0% |
| Mandy Watson | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 34.0% | 34.4% |
| Kaden Ashdown | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 24.2% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.