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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.49+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.10+1.06vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52-0.74vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-2.42+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.03-0.31vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.01-4.04vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.08-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
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2.26Western Washington University0.520.4%1st Place
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6.11Oregon State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Oregon-2.030.0%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University-0.010.2%1st Place
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4.34Western Washington University-1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Wolcott | 14.2% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 24.4% | 17.9% | 10.2% | 2.6% |
| John Kauffman | 19.0% | 19.5% | 23.0% | 20.3% | 13.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 35.4% | 28.4% | 18.8% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kaden Ashdown | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 25.7% | 53.2% |
| Mandy Watson | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 35.5% | 34.9% |
| Nikoline Alden | 20.9% | 21.2% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 28.8% | 20.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.