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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.52+1.26vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01-0.08vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-2.42+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.10-1.89vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.08-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.49-4.36vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.03-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Western Washington University0.520.4%1st Place
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2.92Western Washington University-0.010.2%1st Place
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6.02Oregon State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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3.11University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.48Western Washington University-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Oregon-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Ward | 38.2% | 25.0% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 20.3% | 24.3% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Kaden Ashdown | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 24.5% | 53.1% |
| John Kauffman | 17.7% | 20.4% | 22.7% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 27.4% | 20.7% | 8.7% |
| Ian Wolcott | 12.7% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 10.4% | 2.9% |
| Mandy Watson | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 13.5% | 33.3% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.