← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.52+1.28vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.10+1.04vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.01-1.07vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.49-1.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-2.03-1.33vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-1.08-3.54vs Predicted
-
9Oregon State University-2.42-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28Western Washington University0.520.4%1st Place
-
3.04University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
-
2.93Western Washington University-0.010.2%1st Place
-
3.62University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
-
5.67University of Oregon-2.030.0%1st Place
-
4.46Western Washington University-1.080.1%1st Place
-
6.0Oregon State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Ward | 37.2% | 26.3% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Kauffman | 18.1% | 21.9% | 22.4% | 19.5% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Nikoline Alden | 19.1% | 24.4% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Ian Wolcott | 13.7% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 21.3% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Mandy Watson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 33.9% | 34.4% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 7.5% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 26.6% | 21.0% | 8.8% |
| Kaden Ashdown | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 23.9% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.