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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University0.52+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.29+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.49-1.25vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.01-2.95vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.10-3.77vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.08-3.36vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-2.42-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Western Washington University0.520.4%1st Place
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4.88University of Oregon-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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3.05Western Washington University-0.010.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.64Western Washington University-1.080.1%1st Place
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6.14Oregon State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Ward | 36.4% | 28.0% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Marelie Vorster | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 30.3% | 15.8% |
| Ian Wolcott | 12.2% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 12.6% | 4.4% |
| Nikoline Alden | 20.1% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| John Kauffman | 16.7% | 20.5% | 22.0% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 22.2% | 26.1% | 12.4% |
| Kaden Ashdown | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.