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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.01+2.03vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.49-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.29-0.05vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-2.42-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.10-4.80vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.08-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Western Washington University-0.010.2%1st Place
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2.3Western Washington University0.520.3%1st Place
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3.78University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Oregon-1.290.1%1st Place
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6.25Oregon State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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3.2University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University-1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikoline Alden | 22.1% | 18.9% | 20.7% | 19.4% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 34.0% | 29.5% | 19.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ian Wolcott | 11.6% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
| Marelie Vorster | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 32.9% | 15.7% |
| Kaden Ashdown | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 15.7% | 65.9% |
| John Kauffman | 18.6% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 14.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 23.9% | 24.3% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.