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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.46vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-0.21vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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3.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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4.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 21.9% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kraus | 19.8% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 0.1% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 14.7% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 10.6% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 0.2% |
| Leah Ford | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 25.1% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 27.9% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 98.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.