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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.69vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.75-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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4.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.28University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emi Stephanoff | 16.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 0.3% |
| Alyson Crowley | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kraus | 19.7% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 14.4% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 20.5% | 20.7% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 25.0% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 28.5% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 98.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.