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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+4.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.89vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.24+7.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+2.73vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.48vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.49+3.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+2.78vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.15-1.17vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.17-5.09vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-5.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-2.83vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.80vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.01-5.20vs Predicted
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15Boston College-0.06-2.75vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.48-2.47vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.12-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Roger Williams University1.9713.2%1st Place
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6.89Brown University1.858.4%1st Place
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5.83Bowdoin College1.8410.5%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.9%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.5%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University0.493.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.6%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University1.155.9%1st Place
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4.91Harvard University2.1715.2%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College1.7110.1%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University1.224.7%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.5%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University1.015.2%1st Place
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12.25Boston College-0.061.4%1st Place
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13.53Boston University-0.481.3%1st Place
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11.6University of Rhode Island0.122.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.1% |
| Emma Wang | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 31.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.