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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+3.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.28+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut2.51+3.63vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.39+0.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.05-1.72vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy2.20+1.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.40-2.44vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.07-0.40vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.39-1.89vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-7.59vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.74-2.68vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.64-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.84Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.050.3%1st Place
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7.39Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.6Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.41Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.32Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Andrew | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tanya Cuprak | 25.1% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 14.0% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Keller | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 22.4% | 20.6% | 12.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Calahan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 29.1% | 36.6% |
| Patrick Morrissey | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 25.1% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.