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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+14.00vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+5.74vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.77+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.82+9.61vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.65vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.95+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine3.43+3.35vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon2.76+5.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+6.16vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.30+0.75vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.91-3.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.10vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+0.37vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.64+0.12vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.27-4.31vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+0.47vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.67-2.51vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University2.20-1.46vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University2.15-1.58vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands1.09+1.37vs Predicted
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22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-11.45vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles2.28-6.82vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego1.78-4.65vs Predicted
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25Fordham University2.50-9.55vs Predicted
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26University of California at Berkeley1.22-4.01vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis-0.08-0.46vs Predicted
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28Texas A&M University0.35-2.65vs Predicted
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29University of Notre Dame0.27-3.85vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.0University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.42Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.61University of Hawaii2.820.0%1st Place
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.33College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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13.63University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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15.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.0%1st Place
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10.75Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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14.12Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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10.69Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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16.47California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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14.49Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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16.54Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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17.42Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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22.37California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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16.18University of California at Los Angeles2.280.0%1st Place
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19.35University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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15.45Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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21.99University of California at Berkeley1.220.0%1st Place
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26.54University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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25.35Texas A&M University0.350.0%1st Place
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25.15University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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22.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Magill | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Craig Schifferns | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Foster | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Max Rollins | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 5.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morton | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Felando | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 21.6% | 39.0% |
| Conner Fullerton | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 21.7% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 21.3% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.