Race 7A

sodus-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Julian Hill 14.9% 15.4% 13.1% 13.9% 13.1% 11.2% 8.4% 5.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Anthony Farrar 11.2% 12.3% 13.4% 13.0% 14.0% 11.3% 10.6% 7.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Joseph Murphy 10.1% 12.5% 11.8% 13.1% 12.2% 13.0% 10.8% 10.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Michael Stewart 10.4% 8.6% 12.0% 10.9% 10.8% 12.3% 11.4% 10.9% 7.8% 4.1% 0.7%
Cole Bender 13.4% 13.7% 13.5% 15.4% 11.1% 12.1% 9.4% 6.2% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Matthew Lefler 4.4% 4.0% 3.8% 4.7% 6.9% 8.0% 9.5% 13.9% 19.8% 18.6% 6.7%
Boris Bialer 23.1% 19.5% 16.3% 12.8% 11.2% 8.1% 4.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Ashley Franklin 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 13.2% 13.9% 16.2% 11.3% 4.0%
Gabriel Kunze 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 7.0% 15.8% 62.5%
Abby Eckert 4.7% 4.7% 5.3% 4.9% 6.6% 8.5% 10.9% 16.4% 17.0% 14.9% 6.1%
Mary Morris 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 3.2% 4.3% 4.7% 7.5% 8.8% 15.2% 28.9% 19.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.