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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.67vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+1.76vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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4.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 23.5% | 0.7% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 0.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 12.7% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Alexander | 19.5% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 18.6% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 16.5% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 28.3% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 98.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.