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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.47vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.27vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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3.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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4.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 22.0% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 17.9% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 0.2% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 15.1% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 25.4% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 26.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 16.0% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 0.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 98.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.