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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.67vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.42vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.75-2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 22.5% | 0.8% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 15.3% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kraus | 19.3% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 14.8% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 21.8% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 29.2% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 98.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.