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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+2.21vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.21vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 22.2% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 14.9% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kraus | 19.1% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 25.0% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 14.5% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 0.3% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 28.3% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 98.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.