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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.66vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.87-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.75-3.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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4.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emi Stephanoff | 16.0% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 0.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kraus | 19.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 25.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 14.9% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 26.3% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Alexander | 20.9% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 98.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.