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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.34vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.75+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.87+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.33vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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3.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.81University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.8University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kraus | 20.4% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 0.2% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Alexander | 20.1% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 27.1% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 14.3% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 24.9% | 0.5% |
| Alyson Crowley | 12.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 98.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.