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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.77vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.87+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.75-2.73vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kraus | 21.2% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 23.3% | 1.1% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 15.6% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 26.2% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 13.5% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 21.2% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 12.1% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 97.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.