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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+2.22vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.87-1.22vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.68vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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4.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 23.5% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 0.3% |
| Leah Ford | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 25.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 18.3% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 27.8% | 0.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 98.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.