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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.78vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.28vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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3.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 22.4% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 18.4% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 15.2% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 0.1% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 15.0% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 22.5% | 0.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 28.0% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 98.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.