Race 8A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Stewart 10.1% 10.7% 10.5% 10.3% 11.7% 12.2% 12.4% 9.8% 7.8% 4.0% 0.7%
Julian Hill 15.2% 13.4% 14.8% 13.1% 14.2% 10.9% 8.5% 5.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Boris Bialer 24.1% 21.1% 15.2% 14.2% 8.5% 8.2% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Murphy 10.2% 11.2% 13.2% 13.4% 10.9% 12.6% 11.9% 7.8% 6.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Ashley Franklin 5.5% 4.2% 6.2% 6.2% 9.7% 10.4% 13.0% 15.2% 15.4% 10.9% 3.5%
Cole Bender 13.7% 15.6% 13.1% 14.4% 11.2% 11.5% 9.6% 6.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Matthew Lefler 3.5% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 7.8% 9.9% 13.2% 18.6% 18.1% 7.3%
Anthony Farrar 11.4% 12.4% 14.4% 13.4% 12.9% 11.5% 9.7% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Abby Eckert 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 5.7% 8.2% 8.1% 11.2% 15.1% 18.4% 15.7% 5.1%
Gabriel Kunze 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.7% 5.0% 6.8% 15.5% 63.0%
Mary Morris 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% 4.8% 5.0% 6.3% 10.0% 15.0% 30.6% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.