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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+6.73vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+8.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+7.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+11.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.67vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.58vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.77+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon2.76+5.61vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.64+5.22vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University2.20+6.83vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.30-0.17vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.82+1.62vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.41vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.15+2.94vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-7.10vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands1.09+6.03vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.78-3.22vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego1.78+0.76vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.50-3.58vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California2.57-5.13vs Predicted
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21California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-4.12vs Predicted
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22College of Charleston3.95-14.81vs Predicted
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23Connecticut College2.67-8.61vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles2.28-7.30vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley1.22-3.01vs Predicted
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26University of Notre Dame0.27-0.32vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-0.08-1.51vs Predicted
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29Texas A&M University0.35-4.05vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.35Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Irvine3.430.0%1st Place
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15.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.0%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.61University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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14.22Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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16.83Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.83Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Hawaii2.820.0%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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16.94Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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22.03California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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13.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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18.76University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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15.42Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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16.88California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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7.19College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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14.39Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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16.7University of California at Los Angeles2.280.0%1st Place
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21.99University of California at Berkeley1.220.0%1st Place
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25.68University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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26.49University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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24.95Texas A&M University0.350.0%1st Place
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22.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Craig Schifferns | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Megan Magill | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Matt Foster | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Spector | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Rollins | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morton | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Felando | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 22.5% | 24.0% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 39.6% |
| Conner Fullerton | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 21.1% | 19.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.