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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.78vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.28vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.75-2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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3.28University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kraus | 21.4% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 7.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 24.9% | 1.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 0.2% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 15.1% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 13.7% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Alexander | 20.7% | 19.0% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 27.5% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 97.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.