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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.09vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.88vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.75-1.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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3.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.46California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 30.4% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kraus | 20.7% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 11.9% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 20.9% | 0.6% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 16.7% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Alexander | 21.9% | 22.3% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 18.4% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 98.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.