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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.12vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.53vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-2.59vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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3.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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3.41California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 24.2% | 21.0% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 0.2% |
| Leah Ford | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 31.0% | 1.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 20.2% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 22.9% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 15.7% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 0.4% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 18.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 97.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.