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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.72vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.87-1.22vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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3.8University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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4.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 23.0% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 18.7% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 14.8% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 0.2% |
| Leah Ford | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 25.3% | 0.5% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 14.3% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 27.3% | 0.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 98.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.