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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.78vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.29vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.60vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.59-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 22.1% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 14.8% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 0.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 11.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 0.2% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 14.8% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 23.6% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kraus | 19.3% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 28.1% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Bachus | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 98.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.