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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.08+4.75vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09-0.43vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.86+2.34vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.20+0.47vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.69+0.60vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University3.43-4.32vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.08vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.44-1.76vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.16-1.92vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia0.85-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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2.57College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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3.37University of South Florida3.590.2%1st Place
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7.34University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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7.6Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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3.68Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.92Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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8.24North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.08Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Max Thompson | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 33.4% | 23.4% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 18.9% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Fewell | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 7.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.9% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Conner Killham | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 9.1% |
| Travis Tucker | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 12.9% |
| Andrew Dodd | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 22.6% |
| Allison Chenard | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.