Race 5A

saisa-co-ed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.1% 11.7% 13.4% 13.2% 13.3% 10.7% 9.8% 6.2% 5.4% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Max Thompson 4.6% 7.8% 7.8% 9.0% 9.7% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2% 10.8% 8.2% 6.4% 3.3%
Stefano Peschiera 41.5% 24.6% 16.2% 8.9% 4.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 5.7% 7.2% 8.6% 9.6% 11.7% 11.0% 10.4% 10.7% 9.1% 8.7% 4.5% 2.8%
Conner Killham 3.0% 4.3% 5.3% 5.6% 7.2% 7.8% 8.8% 11.2% 11.0% 12.5% 12.6% 10.7%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.7% 4.3% 6.1% 6.1% 7.3% 7.0% 9.9% 10.5% 11.7% 12.9% 12.8% 7.7%
Andrew Dodd 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 4.1% 5.2% 7.3% 6.2% 8.0% 8.8% 13.3% 17.2% 21.0%
Jack Gower 9.5% 11.0% 11.6% 11.7% 11.2% 10.1% 12.2% 7.6% 6.7% 3.9% 2.6% 1.9%
Travis Tucker 2.7% 2.9% 4.2% 5.3% 7.3% 8.4% 8.2% 11.2% 11.6% 12.1% 14.3% 11.8%
John Fewell 4.7% 5.4% 6.4% 7.5% 9.1% 9.0% 9.9% 11.0% 12.6% 10.2% 8.6% 5.6%
Andrew Baird 10.5% 15.5% 13.7% 16.7% 10.4% 11.5% 8.4% 5.4% 4.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Allison Chenard 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 2.3% 3.0% 3.4% 5.2% 6.6% 8.1% 11.1% 18.7% 34.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.