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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.56+3.08vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.93+1.31vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.01+2.26vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.28vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend0.41-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.54+1.06vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.85+0.28vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-1.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-2.37+1.00vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.43-1.48vs Predicted
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11Penn State University0.27-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Queen's University0.5615.6%1st Place
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3.31Cornell University0.9322.7%1st Place
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5.26Hamilton College0.018.9%1st Place
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4.28Rochester Institute of Technology0.4914.6%1st Place
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4.69Penn State Behrend0.4112.3%1st Place
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7.06University of Rochester-0.544.0%1st Place
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7.28Rochester Institute of Technology-0.854.1%1st Place
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6.62Rochester Institute of Technology-0.485.0%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Military Academy-2.370.4%1st Place
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8.52Syracuse University-1.431.6%1st Place
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4.9Penn State University0.2710.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Hill | 15.6% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 22.7% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Cole Bender | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 5.5% |
| Matthew Lefler | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 6.5% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 62.6% |
| Mary Morris | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 29.7% | 19.8% |
| Joseph Murphy | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.