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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+1.41vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+2.18vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.08+2.76vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University3.43-1.32vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.69+1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.20-0.63vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.06vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.16-0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia0.85-0.40vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.44-2.52vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.86-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57College of Charleston4.090.3%1st Place
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3.41University of South Florida3.590.2%1st Place
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5.18Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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3.68Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.76Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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7.94Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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8.9Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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8.48North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.34University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 32.5% | 23.8% | 19.2% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 18.3% | 22.3% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Max Thompson | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 17.7% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Conner Killham | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
| Andrew Dodd | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| Allison Chenard | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 34.5% |
| Travis Tucker | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 15.0% |
| John Fewell | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.