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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+1.04vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.95+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.82+1.75vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.36+1.96vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.88-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.290.00vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.25-1.91vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.37-3.16vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.33-3.81vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.63-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04College of Charleston3.750.5%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College1.950.1%1st Place
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4.9University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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6.96Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.61Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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8.2Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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7.09University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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6.84Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.19North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 46.9% | 26.0% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shannon | 6.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 10.5% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Robert Gruskos | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 4.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| David Beaudry | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 9.9% |
| Mackey Leventis | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 4.4% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 12.3% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.