Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam Pokras 18.2% 17.6% 15.7% 13.6% 11.8% 8.5% 6.6% 4.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Hannah Tuson-Turner 13.1% 14.3% 13.7% 13.6% 10.2% 12.2% 6.8% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Erika Vranizan 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 4.9% 6.2% 6.2% 7.9% 8.3% 11.0% 11.8% 13.5% 13.2% 8.7%
Stephen Lue 11.8% 10.8% 11.4% 12.7% 11.4% 9.5% 11.0% 7.9% 6.2% 4.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4%
Jack Porter 9.2% 7.4% 11.2% 9.8% 11.1% 10.1% 9.9% 10.4% 8.0% 5.3% 4.2% 2.9% 0.5%
Bryan Rust 3.2% 4.5% 4.4% 5.7% 6.3% 6.5% 7.8% 9.7% 10.9% 11.5% 12.0% 10.6% 6.9%
William Peterson 22.3% 20.3% 15.5% 12.6% 10.3% 8.1% 5.8% 2.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Matt Wenner 4.4% 5.5% 4.8% 6.1% 7.8% 9.5% 9.1% 11.3% 12.2% 11.1% 8.6% 6.4% 3.2%
Alicia Bernhard 2.6% 3.4% 3.5% 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 6.8% 8.8% 9.1% 11.1% 14.4% 13.3% 13.0%
Thomas Maher 3.6% 3.0% 2.8% 4.3% 4.2% 5.6% 6.4% 9.0% 9.9% 11.8% 12.0% 13.9% 13.5%
Kelsey Rupp 6.5% 6.7% 9.0% 8.2% 8.8% 10.9% 11.7% 9.8% 9.1% 8.5% 4.8% 4.3% 1.7%
Connor Bescos 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 3.3% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 5.5% 8.6% 12.2% 16.9% 35.6%
John Olson 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 6.2% 6.9% 9.4% 11.9% 14.2% 16.4% 16.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.