Race 1A

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alie Toppa 43.0% 27.1% 17.6% 8.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Rose 19.6% 22.9% 19.6% 15.3% 10.0% 8.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 11.6% 15.1% 19.1% 15.9% 14.7% 10.9% 7.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Ainsley Parramore 2.8% 4.8% 5.1% 8.6% 7.6% 10.8% 14.3% 13.4% 14.0% 10.8% 7.8%
Carrie Marshall 3.8% 3.6% 5.1% 7.7% 8.4% 10.0% 11.8% 12.7% 13.0% 14.4% 9.5%
Megan Ploch 2.8% 4.9% 6.9% 7.5% 10.4% 10.7% 12.7% 13.6% 11.6% 11.8% 7.1%
Sarah DeLoach 4.0% 5.0% 5.3% 7.7% 10.8% 11.4% 12.0% 13.6% 12.3% 11.7% 6.2%
Teagan Walsh 2.7% 2.3% 2.9% 5.3% 6.3% 8.1% 11.2% 11.4% 13.3% 17.9% 18.6%
Allison Chenard 3.6% 4.8% 5.4% 8.2% 11.8% 11.1% 10.6% 12.7% 13.8% 10.9% 7.1%
Victoria Newberry 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 3.3% 4.2% 4.3% 5.5% 8.6% 10.9% 16.8% 42.0%
Olivia Keefe 5.2% 8.1% 10.9% 12.5% 12.8% 13.8% 11.7% 9.5% 8.9% 4.9% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.