Race 2A

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alie Toppa 40.8% 28.8% 18.1% 8.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 12.9% 16.6% 17.7% 17.4% 13.9% 9.0% 6.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Ainsley Parramore 3.4% 4.7% 4.7% 8.3% 9.9% 11.3% 13.1% 14.7% 13.0% 10.8% 6.1%
Victoria Newberry 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 5.7% 4.3% 6.7% 9.5% 18.1% 46.2%
Carrie Marshall 3.2% 4.2% 5.5% 6.4% 9.2% 11.3% 12.0% 12.5% 13.5% 12.4% 9.8%
Megan Ploch 2.7% 4.5% 6.7% 8.2% 9.8% 10.7% 13.8% 12.6% 13.7% 11.0% 6.3%
Charlotte Rose 22.1% 22.0% 20.6% 15.5% 9.1% 5.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Allison Chenard 3.6% 4.4% 6.6% 8.3% 12.5% 12.0% 13.1% 13.0% 10.7% 10.8% 5.0%
Sarah DeLoach 3.1% 4.5% 5.4% 7.4% 9.1% 11.5% 11.4% 13.2% 12.8% 13.6% 8.0%
Olivia Keefe 5.6% 6.9% 9.2% 13.1% 12.9% 13.3% 13.4% 11.2% 7.4% 5.0% 2.0%
Teagan Walsh 1.6% 2.4% 4.0% 4.5% 7.4% 8.8% 10.0% 10.5% 16.5% 17.7% 16.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.