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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+1.86vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.75+3.08vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.35+4.10vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia0.85+0.76vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.67-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.26-2.37vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85-2.26vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-3.32vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.23-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03College of Charleston3.370.4%1st Place
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3.86University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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3.3Jacksonville University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.08University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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9.1North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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6.94Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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6.74Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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6.68Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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7.89Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 43.4% | 27.9% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 14.0% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 17.3% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 8.4% |
| Victoria Newberry | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 44.3% |
| Allison Chenard | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Olivia Keefe | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Megan Ploch | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.