← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alie Toppa 43.4% 27.9% 16.5% 8.6% 2.7% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 14.0% 15.7% 18.3% 17.1% 11.7% 10.7% 7.4% 2.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlotte Rose 17.3% 22.0% 20.9% 14.1% 12.9% 7.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah DeLoach 2.6% 3.8% 4.9% 7.6% 9.1% 10.2% 13.4% 13.5% 13.3% 13.2% 8.4%
Victoria Newberry 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 3.4% 5.2% 6.4% 7.9% 9.5% 16.2% 44.3%
Allison Chenard 3.3% 4.3% 6.2% 9.1% 9.5% 10.9% 13.7% 12.7% 12.4% 10.2% 7.7%
Carrie Marshall 3.7% 5.3% 3.8% 7.2% 10.2% 10.9% 13.1% 11.7% 12.0% 13.7% 8.4%
Olivia Keefe 5.9% 6.8% 10.3% 14.1% 12.3% 12.1% 11.5% 11.4% 7.9% 5.9% 1.8%
Ainsley Parramore 3.6% 4.5% 6.3% 8.1% 10.2% 11.3% 11.7% 12.9% 14.5% 10.1% 6.8%
Megan Ploch 3.6% 5.3% 6.2% 7.7% 10.7% 12.2% 10.1% 13.9% 12.8% 12.2% 5.3%
Teagan Walsh 1.3% 2.6% 4.9% 4.1% 7.3% 9.3% 8.7% 10.9% 15.4% 18.2% 17.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.