Race 4A

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marina Barzaghi 11.4% 16.9% 17.8% 18.2% 13.3% 11.8% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Alie Toppa 44.2% 27.1% 15.7% 8.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Chenard 3.9% 3.9% 6.4% 6.4% 9.7% 11.1% 14.1% 12.9% 13.3% 11.3% 7.0%
Charlotte Rose 17.2% 21.3% 22.0% 17.3% 9.1% 6.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Ainsley Parramore 4.5% 4.5% 6.0% 9.2% 9.1% 10.6% 12.5% 11.6% 13.8% 12.0% 6.2%
Carrie Marshall 2.9% 4.3% 4.8% 5.8% 10.1% 10.8% 11.6% 13.6% 12.8% 13.9% 9.4%
Sarah DeLoach 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% 8.7% 9.8% 11.1% 11.7% 14.0% 13.2% 10.2% 7.1%
Megan Ploch 3.9% 4.6% 6.3% 6.5% 12.4% 12.6% 11.6% 12.9% 11.8% 11.6% 5.8%
Victoria Newberry 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 4.3% 5.7% 8.9% 8.4% 17.0% 45.2%
Teagan Walsh 2.2% 2.5% 4.0% 4.6% 7.4% 6.4% 9.8% 10.9% 15.7% 19.2% 17.3%
Olivia Keefe 4.7% 8.3% 10.0% 11.8% 13.7% 12.9% 13.2% 10.0% 9.4% 4.2% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.