Race 5A

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlotte Rose 17.4% 21.6% 22.1% 17.0% 12.0% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Alie Toppa 44.1% 27.9% 14.9% 8.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 3.3% 3.6% 5.9% 6.2% 7.3% 10.6% 12.3% 11.9% 15.5% 13.2% 10.2%
Allison Chenard 2.6% 4.8% 5.7% 7.2% 10.3% 11.4% 13.4% 12.8% 13.1% 12.3% 6.4%
Marina Barzaghi 12.6% 17.7% 17.1% 15.7% 14.6% 10.5% 5.4% 4.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Ainsley Parramore 3.5% 3.8% 6.5% 9.1% 10.3% 10.6% 13.4% 13.5% 12.1% 10.3% 6.9%
Teagan Walsh 2.7% 2.7% 3.9% 4.0% 6.0% 7.9% 10.5% 12.5% 12.8% 18.2% 18.8%
Megan Ploch 4.1% 3.9% 7.7% 7.6% 11.8% 12.3% 11.4% 12.4% 12.6% 11.6% 4.6%
Sarah DeLoach 3.5% 4.6% 5.3% 7.5% 9.0% 11.7% 11.2% 13.8% 12.7% 12.5% 8.2%
Olivia Keefe 5.0% 7.7% 9.2% 14.1% 12.2% 13.1% 12.9% 10.2% 8.3% 5.3% 2.0%
Victoria Newberry 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 3.2% 3.6% 5.4% 6.2% 7.7% 11.0% 15.6% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.