Race 6A

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alie Toppa 43.9% 27.1% 16.1% 9.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Rose 20.0% 22.6% 20.1% 14.3% 10.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 11.3% 15.5% 18.2% 15.9% 15.1% 11.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Sarah DeLoach 2.6% 4.3% 4.7% 7.0% 9.1% 9.5% 14.5% 14.0% 13.3% 13.0% 8.0%
Carrie Marshall 3.6% 3.8% 4.7% 7.7% 8.7% 10.7% 10.9% 14.2% 12.7% 14.4% 8.6%
Ainsley Parramore 2.9% 4.9% 6.8% 8.5% 9.3% 11.9% 12.9% 12.0% 13.1% 10.3% 7.4%
Teagan Walsh 2.1% 3.5% 3.1% 4.8% 6.2% 8.7% 10.4% 11.1% 13.4% 20.0% 16.7%
Olivia Keefe 5.6% 6.7% 10.6% 13.2% 12.7% 12.6% 10.9% 11.3% 8.6% 5.4% 2.4%
Victoria Newberry 1.1% 1.3% 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 4.1% 5.7% 7.5% 9.8% 15.9% 45.9%
Megan Ploch 3.4% 4.9% 6.4% 8.2% 11.3% 10.7% 11.6% 12.9% 14.5% 10.3% 5.8%
Allison Chenard 3.5% 5.4% 6.7% 8.2% 11.7% 12.0% 12.8% 12.2% 12.4% 9.9% 5.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.