Race 3A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stephen Lue 11.2% 12.2% 11.6% 11.3% 11.5% 11.1% 10.3% 8.1% 5.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4%
Thomas Maher 2.4% 3.3% 2.8% 4.1% 6.4% 5.9% 5.7% 7.4% 9.7% 11.4% 14.1% 14.2% 12.6%
Kelsey Rupp 5.1% 7.1% 7.0% 9.1% 8.4% 10.1% 9.4% 11.2% 10.6% 9.2% 6.9% 4.3% 1.6%
Jack Porter 7.2% 7.7% 10.9% 10.5% 9.6% 9.3% 10.8% 11.6% 9.0% 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Adam Pokras 20.0% 18.3% 14.6% 12.9% 10.6% 9.0% 7.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
William Peterson 23.7% 19.8% 14.2% 14.0% 10.4% 6.1% 5.7% 2.9% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Alicia Bernhard 3.2% 3.3% 4.2% 4.2% 6.1% 5.4% 6.5% 6.9% 11.0% 10.9% 12.8% 15.7% 9.8%
Bryan Rust 3.5% 4.1% 4.3% 6.2% 5.4% 5.9% 8.7% 10.9% 9.2% 13.0% 12.1% 9.8% 6.9%
Hannah Tuson-Turner 12.8% 13.2% 14.0% 12.5% 12.5% 10.1% 9.2% 6.3% 5.1% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Matt Wenner 4.9% 5.0% 5.9% 5.4% 8.0% 10.1% 9.0% 9.8% 10.3% 10.3% 8.6% 8.3% 4.4%
Erika Vranizan 2.4% 3.2% 5.2% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 7.9% 8.4% 11.8% 12.2% 11.3% 12.1% 8.3%
Connor Bescos 1.3% 1.0% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 4.6% 3.0% 4.7% 5.8% 8.2% 11.1% 16.3% 37.9%
John Olson 2.3% 1.8% 2.9% 2.6% 3.9% 5.9% 6.8% 8.7% 7.5% 10.3% 14.2% 15.8% 17.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.