Race 9A

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alie Toppa 43.2% 27.8% 18.2% 6.1% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 3.3% 3.1% 4.6% 7.8% 9.4% 10.0% 12.2% 13.7% 13.6% 13.4% 8.9%
Ainsley Parramore 3.9% 5.0% 5.0% 6.7% 9.4% 11.9% 13.0% 14.2% 12.0% 10.5% 8.4%
Charlotte Rose 17.4% 22.2% 21.3% 15.2% 12.3% 6.0% 3.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 13.7% 16.6% 18.8% 14.3% 15.1% 9.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Megan Ploch 2.8% 4.4% 5.7% 8.5% 10.0% 12.5% 12.4% 12.6% 13.3% 11.0% 6.8%
Allison Chenard 4.1% 5.3% 5.6% 9.8% 9.6% 12.5% 13.7% 12.1% 11.4% 10.0% 5.9%
Olivia Keefe 5.5% 7.4% 9.8% 14.3% 11.9% 13.9% 12.0% 9.5% 8.9% 5.0% 1.8%
Sarah DeLoach 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 8.3% 9.3% 11.0% 11.6% 12.3% 13.5% 14.4% 7.3%
Teagan Walsh 1.5% 3.0% 4.0% 5.9% 5.6% 7.0% 9.5% 12.7% 13.4% 18.8% 18.6%
Victoria Newberry 1.2% 1.0% 2.3% 3.1% 4.1% 4.9% 6.0% 8.1% 11.0% 16.1% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.