Race 10A

saisa-womens-champs

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlotte Rose 16.7% 23.6% 20.8% 16.4% 11.2% 6.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alie Toppa 45.0% 26.2% 15.0% 8.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 12.3% 15.1% 19.2% 14.8% 14.1% 12.2% 6.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah DeLoach 2.6% 4.2% 5.3% 6.9% 7.4% 11.5% 11.7% 14.4% 14.1% 12.9% 9.0%
Carrie Marshall 3.3% 4.3% 5.6% 7.0% 9.1% 10.1% 10.9% 12.7% 14.2% 13.3% 9.5%
Olivia Keefe 5.2% 7.2% 9.6% 12.0% 12.2% 12.6% 13.2% 10.1% 9.0% 6.1% 2.8%
Ainsley Parramore 4.2% 5.1% 6.9% 7.9% 12.4% 10.4% 13.7% 13.1% 11.0% 9.7% 5.6%
Megan Ploch 4.1% 4.5% 6.1% 9.5% 10.1% 12.1% 12.5% 11.2% 12.3% 11.6% 6.0%
Allison Chenard 3.4% 5.4% 5.9% 8.7% 9.4% 10.9% 13.2% 13.6% 12.6% 10.0% 6.9%
Teagan Walsh 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 5.4% 6.6% 7.6% 7.8% 12.8% 13.3% 19.0% 19.0%
Victoria Newberry 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 4.2% 4.9% 6.3% 7.4% 11.7% 17.0% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.