Race 1B

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Liza Toppa 27.1% 22.3% 19.0% 13.6% 9.2% 5.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 21.2% 21.0% 16.7% 15.0% 10.8% 8.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Paula Resto 17.3% 17.1% 18.7% 15.4% 13.5% 8.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Margaret MacCormack 9.2% 12.5% 9.8% 14.3% 14.5% 15.4% 10.8% 8.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Leah Harper 6.1% 6.0% 9.2% 9.6% 11.2% 12.2% 13.6% 15.1% 11.1% 4.8% 1.1%
Jenn Casey 4.9% 5.4% 7.9% 8.0% 10.8% 12.6% 15.4% 14.7% 11.9% 6.7% 1.7%
Keara Paquette 4.9% 4.5% 5.9% 8.1% 10.0% 10.2% 14.4% 17.0% 13.9% 8.7% 2.4%
Jennifer Cahalan 2.1% 1.2% 1.7% 3.1% 3.5% 6.3% 9.5% 12.1% 20.6% 23.0% 16.9%
Darby Reddaway 5.4% 8.0% 8.6% 9.1% 11.3% 13.2% 14.4% 13.3% 10.1% 4.8% 1.8%
Samantha Capozzi 1.0% 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 10.5% 14.8% 27.1% 28.2%
Anneliese Carlson 0.8% 0.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 3.3% 3.7% 4.4% 12.1% 23.0% 47.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.