Race 2B

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Darby Reddaway 4.7% 6.0% 9.2% 9.3% 11.9% 14.2% 17.6% 14.0% 8.6% 3.6% 0.9%
Jenn Casey 5.1% 5.0% 7.7% 8.7% 10.9% 14.3% 13.2% 16.5% 10.7% 6.4% 1.5%
Jennifer Cahalan 2.1% 1.2% 2.2% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 6.7% 10.4% 21.9% 25.7% 17.8%
Margaret MacCormack 8.7% 11.5% 11.0% 14.4% 15.9% 13.2% 11.9% 7.7% 4.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Liza Toppa 26.6% 21.9% 19.9% 12.7% 9.1% 5.1% 2.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 20.5% 21.6% 15.6% 16.2% 10.2% 8.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Paula Resto 20.8% 19.0% 18.7% 15.3% 11.3% 7.4% 4.4% 1.7% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Capozzi 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 3.9% 7.3% 9.2% 15.2% 27.2% 28.1%
Leah Harper 5.5% 7.3% 6.8% 9.0% 12.0% 13.4% 15.0% 15.3% 8.9% 5.9% 0.9%
Keara Paquette 4.1% 4.5% 6.7% 7.5% 10.4% 11.6% 13.0% 15.4% 16.6% 7.5% 2.7%
Anneliese Carlson 1.0% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 4.1% 6.5% 11.2% 22.1% 47.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.