Race 3B

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Leah Harper 4.6% 5.8% 8.3% 10.0% 11.5% 14.3% 15.1% 14.9% 10.5% 4.2% 0.8%
Liza Toppa 28.1% 23.2% 17.4% 12.8% 8.6% 6.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Paula Resto 16.8% 18.1% 19.0% 16.0% 12.2% 9.1% 5.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 20.7% 18.2% 17.4% 14.3% 14.2% 6.5% 5.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Margaret MacCormack 9.9% 12.7% 13.3% 14.2% 12.3% 11.9% 11.8% 9.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Jenn Casey 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 9.4% 10.2% 11.6% 15.2% 14.2% 12.3% 7.4% 1.5%
Keara Paquette 5.1% 5.1% 5.5% 6.7% 10.1% 12.5% 13.7% 14.9% 13.8% 10.3% 2.3%
Jennifer Cahalan 2.0% 1.6% 1.8% 3.0% 3.8% 6.1% 8.1% 12.4% 21.1% 23.0% 17.1%
Darby Reddaway 5.9% 7.2% 7.5% 9.8% 12.4% 13.8% 13.4% 13.9% 9.4% 5.0% 1.7%
Anneliese Carlson 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 6.0% 11.3% 18.5% 51.6%
Samantha Capozzi 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 2.9% 2.5% 4.7% 5.6% 9.5% 16.2% 29.8% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.