Race 4B

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paula Resto 17.8% 18.8% 17.2% 16.1% 15.3% 7.4% 4.9% 1.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Margaret MacCormack 10.4% 11.1% 13.5% 15.7% 11.6% 14.6% 9.9% 8.1% 4.6% 0.2% 0.3%
Leah Harper 6.1% 5.9% 7.1% 7.4% 12.3% 13.7% 16.0% 14.1% 10.8% 5.8% 0.8%
Liza Toppa 25.9% 22.9% 17.5% 15.0% 8.9% 6.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 21.5% 19.5% 19.0% 14.0% 10.1% 8.4% 4.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jenn Casey 4.4% 6.0% 7.1% 8.0% 11.1% 11.5% 15.4% 16.8% 10.4% 7.0% 2.3%
Jennifer Cahalan 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 2.3% 4.3% 5.2% 8.9% 12.9% 20.0% 23.1% 16.1%
Keara Paquette 4.0% 4.6% 6.7% 6.4% 10.3% 12.6% 12.7% 16.6% 15.0% 8.4% 2.7%
Darby Reddaway 5.9% 7.0% 6.7% 11.2% 10.4% 14.3% 15.3% 12.6% 9.6% 4.9% 2.1%
Samantha Capozzi 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 3.6% 6.5% 8.7% 15.9% 28.8% 26.8%
Anneliese Carlson 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 3.8% 5.5% 11.6% 21.4% 48.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.