Race 5B

saisa-womens-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kathryn Bornarth 19.3% 18.6% 18.8% 14.9% 12.8% 9.2% 3.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Liza Toppa 28.2% 22.8% 17.2% 13.4% 9.1% 5.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Paula Resto 17.1% 17.3% 17.8% 16.7% 12.7% 9.4% 4.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Jenn Casey 4.1% 5.0% 6.8% 7.6% 11.0% 12.8% 16.1% 14.9% 12.7% 7.8% 1.2%
Darby Reddaway 6.4% 6.6% 9.0% 9.8% 11.9% 13.1% 15.3% 12.9% 10.5% 3.7% 0.8%
Margaret MacCormack 10.3% 12.2% 11.6% 13.3% 14.2% 14.1% 11.4% 6.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Jennifer Cahalan 2.1% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 4.0% 6.4% 7.2% 11.8% 19.9% 25.0% 15.9%
Samantha Capozzi 1.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 3.2% 4.1% 5.5% 11.2% 16.4% 27.5% 26.7%
Anneliese Carlson 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 1.6% 2.4% 3.1% 6.2% 9.0% 21.8% 51.8%
Leah Harper 6.2% 7.4% 7.8% 10.6% 10.0% 12.8% 16.1% 14.4% 9.9% 3.6% 1.2%
Keara Paquette 3.8% 5.5% 6.7% 7.9% 9.5% 10.3% 14.5% 15.6% 15.3% 8.9% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.