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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.94+1.61vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+3.29vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.89-0.31vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+1.29vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.70+0.61vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-0.45-1.02vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-1.18-0.20vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.34+0.93vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.54+0.32vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College-0.89-3.94vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-2.07-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Cornell University0.9430.7%1st Place
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5.29Rochester Institute of Technology-0.647.5%1st Place
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2.69Queen's University0.8928.4%1st Place
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5.29Rochester Institute of Technology-0.558.2%1st Place
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5.61Penn State University-0.706.4%1st Place
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4.98Penn State Behrend-0.457.4%1st Place
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6.8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.182.9%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Military Academy-2.341.4%1st Place
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9.32Syracuse University-2.540.7%1st Place
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6.06Hamilton College-0.894.9%1st Place
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8.41University of Rochester-2.071.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Greco | 30.7% | 25.8% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Defne Melikoglu | 28.4% | 24.7% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Menand | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Gus Hankinson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 26.5% | 30.6% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 22.7% | 40.4% |
| Elizabeth Price | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Ingemar Hentschel | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.