← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paula Resto 14.4% 16.5% 15.7% 15.2% 15.9% 10.6% 7.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Liza Toppa 24.0% 20.6% 18.5% 13.9% 10.7% 6.6% 3.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 17.2% 15.4% 17.9% 15.9% 12.6% 10.2% 7.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Jenn Casey 3.7% 3.9% 5.4% 7.1% 8.1% 13.0% 17.0% 17.4% 15.5% 7.4% 1.5%
Darby Reddaway 5.3% 5.7% 7.7% 8.4% 11.5% 11.7% 16.1% 17.1% 10.8% 4.8% 0.9%
Margaret MacCormack 8.3% 10.6% 11.1% 11.7% 13.6% 16.2% 12.3% 9.5% 4.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 21.0% 19.0% 14.8% 16.4% 12.0% 8.4% 5.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Samantha Capozzi 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 4.6% 5.7% 9.4% 17.1% 29.9% 26.7%
Anneliese Carlson 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 3.6% 5.0% 10.5% 20.9% 53.1%
Keara Paquette 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 6.5% 8.5% 11.8% 13.3% 18.6% 16.5% 9.4% 2.9%
Jennifer Cahalan 0.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 5.4% 8.9% 13.2% 21.6% 25.5% 14.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.